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SALFORD MP REBECCA LONG BAILEY AT CENTRE OF HORSE BETTING HULLABULLOO
 

Star date: 29th January 2020

WHEN POLITICS BECOMES A HORSE RACE...

Is it ethical to bet on political leadership contests? For some people it's not who wins but who can bring in the most amount of money in winnings. As OddsMonkey.com today made Keir Starmer 1/4 favourite to win the Labour Party Leadership, with Salford and Eccles MP Rebecca Long Bailey trailing at 4/1, we asked the company whether it's right to treat serious politicians as 'horses'...

"Rebecca Long-Bailey at 4/1– she probably thinks that is a bit insulting and it might help get her campaign going" explained OddsMoneky's Peter Watton.

Full details here...


OddsMonkey
click image to enlarge

So this morning a press release from OddsMonkey arrives titled 'Starmer odds cut further to become Labour leader'...

"Sir Keir Starmer has seen his odds cut further as he continues to be the firm favourite to win the Labour leadership election" it states "...Starmer is now as short as 1/4 to win, ahead of his nearest rival – who is seen as Rebecca Long-Bailey, very much the candidate who would follow the Corbyn party line and has the support of Labour's biggest campaign group Momentum. Lisa Nandy and Emily Thornberry are also still battling to take charge, but look to have big challenges on their hands to take over..."

OddsMonkey spokesman, Peter Watton, added: "This is very much a two-horse race with two very different candidates. Sir Keir is very much more to the centre than Jeremy Corbyn, but he has also won strong union support – hence his odds coming into 1/4. But at 4/1, Rebecca Long-Bailey – the left-wing candidate – still looks a very good price, as she is the Momentum candidate and their power in the grassroots can't be underestimated. The odds suggest this is over, but we are not so sure."

Of course, it's all about getting punters to part with their money – but is it ethical to turn a political party leadership contest into some kind of horse race...and a 'two-horse race' at that?

We questioned Peter Watton about it all...

What kind of people bet on a Labour Party Leadership race?
"Well politics in general has become a hugely popular market, and it has thrown up some huge wins – like Donald Trump winning and the EU referendum and we know a lot of Westminster watchers love to have a bet."

Are they bothered about the outcome or is it about winning a bet?
"If you put a bet on, you probably are thinking about winning – and you would probably be surprised how many people from the opposition think something might be a good price."

Does it matter if it's politicians they are betting on - or could it be the first throw-in at a footy match, who comes first in a snail race or something?
"I think people who bet on politics have a real interest, unless it is more generic like the General Election then you can find a whole range of people taking a punt."

Do betting odds take away the emphasis on policies from the candidates and are they treated as mere 'horses' by punters?
"I think the odds can help drive someone, for instance Rebecca Long-Bailey at 4/1 – she probably thinks that is a bit insulting and it might help get her campaign going, and the danger with being odds-on like Sir Kier Starmer, is do they think it is a done deal already?"

Is it ironic that people are betting on the candidates when Labour had in its manifesto curbs on betting companies?
"Labour are not looking to ban betting, political betting is often one of the more fun markets to get involved with."

Is it fun or does it all leave a bad taste in the mouth?

Bob the regular wrote
at 06:36:56 on 30 January 2020
MISS BECKY WILL WIN. Never mind if its wrong or immoral to bet on such things. People do. It is very rare I bet but Just before Christmas, I was going to have a couple of hundred on Miss Becky at 3/1. When I got in to uncle Freds she drifted to 7/2. I thought uncle Fred might be a bit generous so I hesitated. she then went to 5/4. Now she is 4/1 and I am skint cos I got a load of bills. What is happening here is almost the same as what happened in the referendum election. The yuppies in London are surrounded by people who think Starmer will win.The only working class people they normally meet are cabbies, "yer ac chewal diamond geezer" know it alls. They too will think starmer has to win, and so they will tell the yuppies in the back of their cabs. They think the shorter the odds the more "the Market" is telling them who is going to win.So this puts more cash in, shortening the odds greatly even further,and so on.In the euro referendum, the yuppies in London were putting tens,hundreds of thousands against geordie , sunderland ,scouser , brummy working class lads who were putting 10 20 50 100 quids against them. But at the end of the day, it takes a thousand geordies putting a ton on each, to balance hundred grand put on by one yuppie. But in the referendum ,it was a thousand votes against one. Here its not quite the same.Its not the public or MPs even who choose ,its the members, and they like Miss Becky. The way our Ray talks, you can tell he knows about gambling. Ray old pal,I hope you got a few bob on Miss Becky, good luck to you. Oh AND GOOD LUCK TO YOU MISS BECKY,ONE OF MY SPIES TELLS ME YOU READ THE STAR EACH DAY EVEN THOUGH YOUR NOT SUPPOSED TO BEING A GOOD MEMBER OF THE SALFORD LABOUR PARTY.
?
Salford Star wrote
at 16:48:08 on 29 January 2020
See Paul Moran's comment below... No, it's the opposite - it's pointing out the wrong ethics and she's Salford MP so has to be in the headline. Hopefully the article will make people think.
?
Paul Moran wrote
at 16:44:29 on 29 January 2020
Very misleading headline Article about ethics of betting on political leadership contests. Nothing to do with any action by Long Bailey but your headline suggests she has done wrong Very very poor I expect better from you
?
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